ID :
203935
Sun, 08/28/2011 - 09:35
Auther :
Shortlink :
https://oananews.org//node/203935
The shortlink copeid
Libya war will end when West is satisfied
TEHRAN, Aug. 28 (MNA) -- The search for Muammar Gaddafi is continuing, but the capture of his compound in Tripoli by Libyan rebel fighters did not produce any clue about his whereabouts.
According to the latest information, Gaddafi and his loyalists have fled to his hometown Sirte or some other remote area of the country.
Gaddafi can still enjoy financial and tribal support in these areas, although it will now be very hard for him to continue the war against the freedom fighters.
Another issue is the National Transitional Council’s ability to control the volatile situation. But a better analysis of the capabilities of the NTC requires a closer look at the realities of the Libyan political system.
During the Gaddafi era, which lasted more than forty years, there was no possibility to establish civil society institutions. The intelligentsia of Libyan society were imprisoned by the Gaddafi regime or forced to leave the country. As a result, the country does not have the elite needed to rebuild the state and establish a modern democratic system.
Another problem is the tribal structure of Libyan society, which increases the risk of internal conflict. When the rebels reached Tripoli, Mustafa Abdul Jalil, the chairman of Libya’s National Transitional Council, warned about the possibility of such a conflict and asked NTC members and supporters to avoid any tribal or personal disputes. Otherwise, he threatened to resign immediately. This is a serious position, and the Libyan people are not ready to lose an experienced politician like Abdul Jalil.
In general, the NTC has succeeded in gaining sufficient control over the situation in the short term. Over the six months of the war, the council has successfully managed to control the war from outside the capital by properly interacting with the international community and cooperating with its neighbors. This has provided the NTC with a good level of experience to run the country for at least the next few years.
However, Libya is a rich country and will face serious challenges in the future because the foreign powers are seeking to take a share of its oil reserves. Thus, the propaganda disseminated by the West about democracy and establishing a popular government in Libya is a ploy to exploit the country’s rich oil and gas reserves.
Many believe that the Libya war will continue until the moment that NATO is assured that nothing is left of Gaddafi’s arsenal. The call for a war to protect civilians opposed to Gaddafi was actually just a pretext to eliminate this powerful arsenal so that the West could finally eliminate one of its staunch opponents in the region.
From the Western point of view, the Libyan opposition cannot be regarded as a strategic ally, especially if it is in control of the country’s military arsenal, because as the situation develops, the opposition will eventually use its weaponry against the West. Therefore, the war will continue until the United States and its allies are fully satisfied that this military capability is completely undermined.
According to the latest information, Gaddafi and his loyalists have fled to his hometown Sirte or some other remote area of the country.
Gaddafi can still enjoy financial and tribal support in these areas, although it will now be very hard for him to continue the war against the freedom fighters.
Another issue is the National Transitional Council’s ability to control the volatile situation. But a better analysis of the capabilities of the NTC requires a closer look at the realities of the Libyan political system.
During the Gaddafi era, which lasted more than forty years, there was no possibility to establish civil society institutions. The intelligentsia of Libyan society were imprisoned by the Gaddafi regime or forced to leave the country. As a result, the country does not have the elite needed to rebuild the state and establish a modern democratic system.
Another problem is the tribal structure of Libyan society, which increases the risk of internal conflict. When the rebels reached Tripoli, Mustafa Abdul Jalil, the chairman of Libya’s National Transitional Council, warned about the possibility of such a conflict and asked NTC members and supporters to avoid any tribal or personal disputes. Otherwise, he threatened to resign immediately. This is a serious position, and the Libyan people are not ready to lose an experienced politician like Abdul Jalil.
In general, the NTC has succeeded in gaining sufficient control over the situation in the short term. Over the six months of the war, the council has successfully managed to control the war from outside the capital by properly interacting with the international community and cooperating with its neighbors. This has provided the NTC with a good level of experience to run the country for at least the next few years.
However, Libya is a rich country and will face serious challenges in the future because the foreign powers are seeking to take a share of its oil reserves. Thus, the propaganda disseminated by the West about democracy and establishing a popular government in Libya is a ploy to exploit the country’s rich oil and gas reserves.
Many believe that the Libya war will continue until the moment that NATO is assured that nothing is left of Gaddafi’s arsenal. The call for a war to protect civilians opposed to Gaddafi was actually just a pretext to eliminate this powerful arsenal so that the West could finally eliminate one of its staunch opponents in the region.
From the Western point of view, the Libyan opposition cannot be regarded as a strategic ally, especially if it is in control of the country’s military arsenal, because as the situation develops, the opposition will eventually use its weaponry against the West. Therefore, the war will continue until the United States and its allies are fully satisfied that this military capability is completely undermined.
